NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ab8a967bbf05af0dbc9fe6bb4698c876b5ac43969662f3411faa3cc6bd851ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Jets, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 18c | 4,783$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.87 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Jets | 67c | 3,928$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.63 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Jets | 78c | 3,500$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.05 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Capitals | 29c | 2,698$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.74 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Capitals | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Jets | 49c | 2,575$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Capitals | 17c | 2,198$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.61 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Capitals | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 51c | 980.99$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.43 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Capitals | 49c | 749.99$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Capitals | 12c | 510.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jets | 49c | 504.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.79 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Jets | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.98 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jets | 48c | 436.55$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.43 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Jets | 70c | 412.64$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Jets | 66c | 302.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Jets | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jets | 49c | 248.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Jets | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…8dbabacked Jets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc0…3dacbacked Jets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Capitals | 51c | 197.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Capitals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Jets | 72c | 138.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…2573backed Capitals | 51c | 133.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e0…292fbacked Jets | 51c | 127.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…61d3backed Capitals | 51c | 123.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…990ebacked Jets | 51c | 118.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Capitals | 50c | 117.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…b659backed Jets | 50c | 116.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…a2f6backed Capitals | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2f…64e9backed Jets | 50c | 114.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…b190backed Capitals | 51c | 102.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Jets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Jets | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 28c | 97.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Jets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Capitals | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…5e70backed Capitals | 51c | 78.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Jets | 51c | 76.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…82b3backed Jets | 51c | 73.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Capitals | 52c | 64.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Jets | 50c | 64.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Capitals | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…92acbacked Capitals | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Capitals | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…3b80backed Capitals | 51c | 49.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…e2a7backed Jets | 50c | 46.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cad…5616backed Jets | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…f754backed Capitals | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…c150backed Jets | 49c | 45.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…0e00backed Capitals | 51c | 45.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 54c | 45.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…afebbacked Capitals | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941c…d5d6backed Jets | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…4e03backed Capitals | 51c | 42.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…29ebbacked Capitals | 51c | 40.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…10a9backed Capitals | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Capitals | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed Jets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Capitals | 52c | 39.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…93d2backed Jets | 50c | 37.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…9395backed Capitals | 50c | 37.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…f76dbacked Capitals | 51c | 36.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…5aa5backed Jets | 49c | 36.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…085cbacked Jets | 51c | 35.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Capitals | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…8b4dbacked Capitals | 50c | 34.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…7f84backed Capitals | 51c | 34.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…7540backed Capitals | 50c | 34.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…005fbacked Jets | 50c | 34.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…5f56backed Jets | 50c | 33.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…3bfcbacked Capitals | 50c | 33.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…c4d6backed Jets | 49c | 32.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…1bc4backed Capitals | 51c | 32.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Jets | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…a52bbacked Jets | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…5e84backed Jets | 50c | 30.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Jets | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…0fd3backed Jets | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…bec2backed Jets | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0917backed Capitals | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…0e4dbacked Capitals | 51c | 28.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…9542backed Jets | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…3e5ebacked Jets | 49c | 27.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…15fabacked Jets | 49c | 26.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae5…bd27backed Capitals | 51c | 25.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…164abacked Capitals | 50c | 24.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157f…09fcbacked Capitals | 50c | 24.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd75…8cfebacked Capitals | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41d…5170backed Capitals | 51c | 22.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…a981backed Jets | 50c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89c…434dbacked Jets | 49c | 21.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2094…a1ddbacked Capitals | 50c | 20.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Jets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.