UFC · resolved market
Will the announcers say "Dana White" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde361300a1793bf59bc85defaa846477a7b21769a3f63f5b5df013efa2bef896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…f05fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,416$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed No | 49c | 1,072$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 52c | 871$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…88f7backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Yes | 51c | 498$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked No | 52c | 444$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…815ebacked Yes | 51c | 391$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked Yes | 51c | 183$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked No | 52c | 142$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed No | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Yes | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked No | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…e333backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the announcers say "Dana White" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?this page
- Will the announcers say "30 second" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Choke" or "Choked" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Eye poke" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?No won
- Will the announcers say "Hernandez" or "Strickland" 18+ times during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Jiu-Jitsu" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Nasty" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Octagon" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Paramount plus" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Sequence" or "Combination" 3+ times during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Strategy" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Surprise" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Takedown" or "Take down" 3+ times during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Toyota" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Triangle" or "Guillotine" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.