Earnings · resolved market
Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6ef2b93e7f5482aed7c0d12b22365f3d28ab348208b6c97d053ec5316055275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 26c | 335$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 40c | 300.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 76c | 211$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Yes | 76c | 130.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 56c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 45c | 111.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 30c | 97.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 20c | 95.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ab…8231backed Yes | 57c | 88.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 40c | 85.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 62c | 81.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 55c | 77.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 61.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…3b88backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed4…a52abacked Yes | 73c | 39.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…ca6cbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…4472backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…b0ccbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…d8cdbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…f266backed Yes | 76c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.