Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Suzan Lamens vs Anastasia Potapova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aabe123094b69869ee5ee0ee8ed14e7e31816f3b6f5378d9e1d163ddea246f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Potapovaof Lamens, Potapova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Lamens | 0c | 15,903$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lamens | 1c | 3,925$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Potapova | 54c | 3,009$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Lamens | 41c | 2,765$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.68 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Potapova | 71c | 1,833$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.95 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lamens | 46c | 1,549$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.03 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Potapova | 56c | 1,281$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.43 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Lamens | 30c | 1,250$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.09 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Potapova | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lamens | 53c | 1,054$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.58 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Potapova | 42c | 875.83$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.91 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Lamens | 32c | 716$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.12 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Lamens | 29c | 712.38$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Potapova | 72c | 645$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Potapova | 55c | 595.8$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.31 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lamens | 50c | 501.43$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Potapova | 69c | 498.7$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Lamens | 34c | 434.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Lamens | 50c | 400.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Potapova | 48c | 370.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lamens | 38c | 320.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Potapova | 48c | 256.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Potapova | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lamens | 50c | 224.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…b81fbacked Lamens | 70c | 218.13$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Lamens | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Potapova | 70c | 172.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Lamens | 63c | 158.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Potapova | 64c | 156.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Potapova | 70c | 142.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Lamens | 41c | 115.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Potapova | 68c | 109.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Potapova | 66c | 108.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Lamens | 52c | 107.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Potapova | 68c | 91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Potapova | 45c | 89.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Potapova | 54c | 85.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Potapova | 57c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lamens | 53c | 61.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Lamens | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Potapova | 34c | 57.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lamens | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Lamens | 31c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Lamens | 52c | 45.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Potapova | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Lamens | 51c | 43.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Lamens | 48c | 42.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lamens | 51c | 42.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Lamens | 46c | 39.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Potapova | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Potapova | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Lamens | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Potapova | 38c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lamens | 33c | 33.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Potapova | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Potapova | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Potapova | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Potapova | 64c | 19.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…3679backed Potapova | 70c | 19.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed Potapova | 71c | 14.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Suzan Lamens vs Anastasia Potapovathis page
- Lamens vs. Potapova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Lamens vs. Potapova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Lamens vs. Potapova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Lamens vs PotapovaLamens won
- Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Lamens (+1.5)Lamens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.