TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida Gatorsof Tennessee Volunteers, Florida Gators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,075 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x447d…dee1backed Tennessee Volunteers3c15,573$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gators65c4,711$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.35,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Tennessee Volunteers35c2,825$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004040%16 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tennessee Volunteers33c2,275$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.221,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Gators71c1,987$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.634,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Florida Gators60c1,528$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.996852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tennessee Volunteers32c1,500$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.455,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Florida Gators67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Tennessee Volunteers28c1,399$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.9642327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Tennessee Volunteers5c1,300$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705024%12 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Tennessee Volunteers22c1,291$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.156248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gators64c1,283$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.6312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Tennessee Volunteers40c1,276$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.546446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Tennessee Volunteers42c1,011$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.21,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Florida Gators66c932.71$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1241554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9faf…778cbacked Tennessee Volunteers34c876.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Florida Gators79c867.14$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.135452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Florida Gators65c690.86$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.881453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Florida Gators61c677.86$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1415861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Tennessee Volunteers33c601.63$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.541,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Florida Gators68c574.13$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.721,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Tennessee Volunteers36c505$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2522050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Florida Gators57c494.12$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.571,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Florida Gators67c480.81$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.672835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Tennessee Volunteers35c471.43$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1657727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tennessee Volunteers32c466.68$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.892,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Tennessee Volunteers34c457.68$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.411,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Tennessee Volunteers34c426.47$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1456619.7%13 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tennessee Volunteers32c421$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.721,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tennessee Volunteers36c398.83$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.733,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Tennessee Volunteers14c343.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4836535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Tennessee Volunteers34c341.74$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.682,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Florida Gators67c306.46$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.131973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Tennessee Volunteers36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812617.5%22 W · 104 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Florida Gators68c292.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4148462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Tennessee Volunteers14c286.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.136931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Tennessee Volunteers36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.821449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Florida Gators65c278.71$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5521149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Tennessee Volunteers36c277$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7212733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tennessee Volunteers47c257$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.932,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Tennessee Volunteers17c248.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1336942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Florida Gators65c223.46$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2174152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Florida Gators67c218$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.941,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Tennessee Volunteers10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207140.8%29 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida Gators67c192.05$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.371,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Tennessee Volunteers41c170$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.772248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Florida Gators66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.528956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Florida Gators67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Florida Gators67c130.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Tennessee Volunteers34c122.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.72,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Florida Gators69c101.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9532343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Tennessee Volunteers31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Tennessee Volunteers33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tennessee Volunteers29c86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.611,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florida Gators60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Florida Gators64c82.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Tennessee Volunteers36c78.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.124,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Tennessee Volunteers36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2244955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tennessee Volunteers35c68.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.174,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d73…3639backed Tennessee Volunteers44c59.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+90.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Tennessee Volunteers36c55.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8453646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Gators66c53.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.213,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Tennessee Volunteers38c50.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1117647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Tennessee Volunteers40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Tennessee Volunteers38c43.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.219144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Florida Gators65c39.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1420254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Tennessee Volunteers36c38.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8530746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Florida Gators66c36.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4923544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff2…b81fbacked Florida Gators61c34.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.34683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+194.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Tennessee Volunteers31c33.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba34…7e93backed Florida Gators70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Florida Gators57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95048%24 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed Florida Gators75c21.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.264360.5%26 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Florida Gators64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.222552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.