Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Kamil Majchrzak vs Quentin Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x399b4234563cebed7f6c771ab05f2e4d01f1772b7be43161d40dd293019fba2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Halysof Majchrzak, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Majchrzak | 28c | 585.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Halys | 77c | 490.38$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.79 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Halys | 41c | 321.36$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Majchrzak | 75c | 300$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Halys | 41c | 280.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Majchrzak | 53c | 255$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Majchrzak | 53c | 236.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Halys | 45c | 235.49$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Majchrzak | 59c | 234.68$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Halys | 48c | 209.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Halys | 50c | 207.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Majchrzak | 8c | 182.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Halys | 49c | 175$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Majchrzak | 16c | 173.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Majchrzak | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Halys | 31c | 159.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Halys | 69c | 159.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Majchrzak | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Majchrzak | 42c | 118.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Majchrzak | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Halys | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Halys | 25c | 77.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Majchrzak | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Majchrzak | 66c | 76.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Majchrzak | 59c | 68.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Halys | 41c | 56.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Majchrzak | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Majchrzak | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…b830backed Majchrzak | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Majchrzak | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…67fdbacked Majchrzak | 65c | 29.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Halys | 44c | 28.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Majchrzak | 65c | 23.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Majchrzak | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Halys | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Kamil Majchrzak vs Quentin Halysthis page
- Set Handicap: Majchrzak (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)Halys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.