Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba777734564ae816296d12ba5ab5ef1bb8813467fd8a7e5f8bb83ced2a4eb29f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked 1win | 2c | 7,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 1win | 1c | 4,439$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 3,676$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.31 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 1win | 23c | 3,024$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.87 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 1,759$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.59 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed 1win | 16c | 1,549$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.25 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed 1win | 22c | 1,128$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked 1win | 23c | 730.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 509.17$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 487.69$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed 1win | 23c | 463.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed 1win | 17c | 444$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…99abbacked 1win | 6c | 335.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 316.25$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed 1win | 23c | 306.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed 1win | 10c | 289.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 286.92$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed 1win | 22c | 247.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed 1win | 22c | 229.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 1win | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked 1win | 12c | 168.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked BetBoom Team | 76c | 162.14$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…4efabacked 1win | 13c | 158.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed 1win | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed 1win | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed 1win | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 108.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed 1win | 23c | 85.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed 1win | 14c | 82.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 74.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6529…ab39backed 1win | 21c | 66.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…9c06backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…3c8ebacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed 1win | 22c | 52.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed 1win | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed 1win | 21c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…18a5backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…6680backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…d3b3backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 31.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdead…5161backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…ed39backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.