Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc40aed86bea6c1b4cf0b5b5bf51e12dad0a23ea1fbef08675aaec1bb698e9e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked BetBoom Team | 73c | 16,490$12,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.59 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 1win | 26c | 6,788$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.57 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed 1win | 22c | 6,424$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.11 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 20c | 4,696$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.46 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked BetBoom Team | 72c | 3,945$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.57 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 3,445$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.9 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked 1win | 34c | 3,262$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.83 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed 1win | 27c | 2,261$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed 1win | 27c | 1,857$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.94 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed 1win | 28c | 952.02$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed BetBoom Team | 72c | 799.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed 1win | 27c | 755.92$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed 1win | 26c | 673.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.46 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 30c | 640.1$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed 1win | 27c | 499.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 375.78$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 322.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 1win | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 289.39$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 36c | 265$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 1win | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…9229backed 1win | 20c | 199.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed 1win | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed 1win | 22c | 171.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1win | 31c | 151.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed 1win | 23c | 100.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked 1win | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed BetBoom Team | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6529…ab39backed 1win | 27c | 99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed 1win | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 87.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 1win | 33c | 87.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 84.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked 1win | 23c | 61.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed 1win | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…bdddbacked 1win | 25c | 41.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…d85dbacked 1win | 27c | 37.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…01afbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 24.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed BetBoom Team | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win (BO3)BetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.