Oregon State Beavers vs. Washington State Cougars

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36930dc0a59d737cd6a9929dfea3f9ebae861756a6b8d4553f1d84cc9810cfc8

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Washington State Cougarsof Oregon State Beavers, Washington State Cougars
Resolved: Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,420 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Washington State Cougars	76c	5,627$4,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,376.73	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Oregon State Beavers	28c	5,446$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,509.79	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oregon State Beavers	14c	2,305$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.41	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington State Cougars	76c	1,335$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oregon State Beavers	9c	1,092$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.19	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Oregon State Beavers	29c	1,015$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.21	161	35.4%57 W · 104 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Washington State Cougars	71c	840.17$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.91	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Washington State Cougars	72c	724.5$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.18	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0627…4301backed Oregon State Beavers	2c	590.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Oregon State Beavers	25c	495.18$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.8	529	28.4%150 W · 379 L	-9.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Oregon State Beavers	20c	483.45$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.39	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Oregon State Beavers	11c	462.29$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.4	735	49.1%361 W · 374 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Oregon State Beavers	16c	394.8$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.17	140	21.4%30 W · 110 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Oregon State Beavers	17c	277.91$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.24	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+43%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f49…1befbacked Oregon State Beavers	12c	250$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.38	57	14%8 W · 49 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Oregon State Beavers	19c	244$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.84	497	47.5%236 W · 261 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Oregon State Beavers	12c	241.66$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oregon State Beavers	25c	225$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.25	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Oregon State Beavers	14c	200$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	383	43.6%167 W · 216 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Oregon State Beavers	17c	123.53$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	218	30.7%67 W · 151 L	-10.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Oregon State Beavers	27c	67.63$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.18	1,487	43%639 W · 848 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d08…9e8dbacked Oregon State Beavers	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Oregon State Beavers	25c	44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Washington State Cougars	77c	35$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.96	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Washington State Cougars	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	4,552	50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L	-36.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0187…161cbacked Washington State Cougars	80c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	78cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Oregon State Beavers vs. Washington State Cougars

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market