Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Delaware State Hornets vs. Howard Bison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca3bf77b465549943ad1240c7704c10fd43cc2cc42343c4e53f17bb5a4ccde3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Howard Bisonof Delaware State Hornets, Howard Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Delaware State Hornets | 11c | 5,569$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Delaware State Hornets | 8c | 3,160$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.02 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Delaware State Hornets | 1c | 1,607$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Delaware State Hornets | 25c | 1,493$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.42 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…5c46backed Delaware State Hornets | 1c | 1,342$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Delaware State Hornets | 20c | 1,322$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.92 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Delaware State Hornets | 20c | 1,212$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Delaware State Hornets | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Howard Bison | 76c | 549$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Delaware State Hornets | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bda…52e7backed Howard Bison | 79c | 499.76$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Delaware State Hornets | 18c | 481.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Delaware State Hornets | 20c | 419.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Delaware State Hornets | 9c | 373.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Delaware State Hornets | 19c | 306.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Howard Bison | 80c | 299.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Delaware State Hornets | 19c | 292.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Howard Bison | 78c | 286$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Delaware State Hornets | 17c | 236$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Delaware State Hornets | 19c | 218.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Delaware State Hornets | 9c | 217.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Howard Bison | 63c | 214$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f86…71a5backed Delaware State Hornets | 18c | 195.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Delaware State Hornets | 37c | 194$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…b47fbacked Delaware State Hornets | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Delaware State Hornets | 20c | 105.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Delaware State Hornets | 21c | 101.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…81a1backed Delaware State Hornets | 20c | 101.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Howard Bison | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 78cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ee…a798backed Delaware State Hornets | 17c | 88.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Howard Bison | 80c | 81.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Howard Bison | 79c | 65.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Howard Bison | 80c | 60.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…a336backed Delaware State Hornets | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Howard Bison | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Delaware State Hornets | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…72acbacked Howard Bison | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Howard Bison | 75c | 26.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Delaware State Hornets vs. Howard Bisonthis page
- Delaware State Hornets vs. Howard Bison: O/U 131.5Over won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-9.5)Howard Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.