Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Liudmila Samsonova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e3789893c6a8e270ec1e67ea0357ea24eda3127751f8a1c6cc159485d62a61f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsonovaof Sasnovich, Samsonova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sasnovich | 17c | 14,370$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.64 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Sasnovich | 0c | 12,445$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sasnovich | 2c | 1,624$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sasnovich | 15c | 1,416$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sasnovich | 11c | 1,191$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sasnovich | 37c | 1,117$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.48 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Sasnovich | 1c | 1,101$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sasnovich | 5c | 1,086$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sasnovich | 11c | 969.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Sasnovich | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Samsonova | 59c | 588.69$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.27 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Samsonova | 58c | 500.24$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sasnovich | 3c | 443.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…c3e1backed Samsonova | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…967abacked Samsonova | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Samsonova | 62c | 324.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…d759backed Sasnovich | 7c | 291.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Samsonova | 70c | 284.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5ec6backed Samsonova | 79c | 253.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sasnovich | 12c | 208.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Samsonova | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sasnovich | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Samsonova | 58c | 189.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sasnovich | 28c | 181.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Sasnovich | 51c | 180$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Samsonova | 57c | 177.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Samsonova | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Samsonova | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sasnovich | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Samsonova | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sasnovich | 38c | 96.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Samsonova | 56c | 95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Samsonova | 77c | 74.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sasnovich | 46c | 67.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…cf9ebacked Samsonova | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Samsonova | 78c | 51.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…d3b3backed Samsonova | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Samsonova | 58c | 42.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…6680backed Samsonova | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Samsonova | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…8275backed Samsonova | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Samsonova | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Samsonova | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Sasnovich | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…99d2backed Sasnovich | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Sasnovich | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Samsonova | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Samsonova | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Liudmila Samsonovathis page
- Sasnovich vs. Samsonova: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Sasnovich vs. Samsonova: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Sasnovich vs. Samsonova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Sasnovich vs SamsonovaSamsonova won
- Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Sasnovich (+1.5)Samsonova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.