Other European Leagues · resolved market
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c10d75f30d9b0b59d34546ba994bee19f6c90d0044240a3f4540e9f1e15b28a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 79c | 2,540$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.8 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 1,337$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 735.58$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.46 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 20c | 634.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 20c | 450.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 23c | 291$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 259.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 250.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 21c | 246.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 245.57$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 63c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 74.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Over | 80c | 63.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 41c | 52.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Under | 53c | 47.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…e29dbacked Under | 25c | 42.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 51c | 36.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 49c | 27.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…ed39backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…2862backed Over | 80c | 24.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.