Other European Leagues · resolved market
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bb8e0f6aa83b7c81cc035a85b4fd9372eef82e98681d4b313737c539f7dd76a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 8,560$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 79c | 6,600$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 80c | 3,000$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.14 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 71c | 1,301$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.02 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 30c | 1,017$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.06 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 634.12$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 27c | 316.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 32c | 155.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 70c | 143.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 69c | 129$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 71c | 121$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 72c | 98.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 29c | 98.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 70c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 31c | 63.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 70c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 73c | 55.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 64c | 55.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…9247backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 21c | 53.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Over | 32c | 39.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 30c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.