TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Under50c41,471$20,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,753.961,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be4…47c3backed Under51c26,500$13,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,985450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e2…ab89backed Over49c26,500$12,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,985560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c15,753$7,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,876.656152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c10,880$5,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,414.62,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under49c7,500$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,82556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Over52c6,178$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c4,400$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c2,964$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.671,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c2,757$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.362,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over51c2,700$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.9986649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under48c1,756$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.2197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c1,691$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c1,644$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.261,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c1,556$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.621,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783d…c983backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c8…6e10backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc268…89d0backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…a04cbacked Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aeb…2732backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…8566backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c51…df5bbacked Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e18…a9b7backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf8…a3aabacked Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5d…f100backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8f…4d4dbacked Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3f…692abacked Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7d…e07bbacked Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…11d1backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80b…4937backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8e…b28abacked Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…b016backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf1d…fe44backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c4…23cdbacked Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc549…4308backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87e…9604backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd4…bf6cbacked Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa395…aa34backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ce3…e5f5backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad7…9d99backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5642…0375backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aba…8805backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d6…1f93backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953d…64d4backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a0…41ccbacked Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d2…c935backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e16…79e9backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b68…fe9fbacked Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…d758backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45a3…1221backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8267…5550backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6671…fcdcbacked Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d5…dc66backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb74…661cbacked Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb3…3ae2backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2e…94d9backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc90c…2d84backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d6…8ea0backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a01…158abacked Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe45d…b927backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9746…969fbacked Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4461…9090backed Under51c1,428$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebec…50abbacked Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b24…d475backed Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf28…d1afbacked Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over52c1,129$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.923647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under48c995.2$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.533345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over51c642.82$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.844965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over51c596.95$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.4575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over45c555$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7511533.9%39 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c500$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25835349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c399$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c351.67$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under48c333$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1649546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over49c312.46$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1183652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15675946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012544.8%56 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11524442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10262447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10430952.4%162 W · 147 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over43c177.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6621040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over45c119$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.558650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c108.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507055.7%39 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e54…5fdfbacked Over30c88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7514153.9%76 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over49c79.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1212152.1%63 W · 58 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Under51c79.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1210056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6947944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c64.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6578651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c50.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.62,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under70c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under49c36.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.656053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over52c30.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167051.4%36 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.