South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ea66b324056b18e62bface6fc9cf51fa4bdbf7ba6fb8bebad444d2dbd49a23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 10,957$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.24 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 3,701$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.2 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 3,304$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 3,007$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.53 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 2,897$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 2,182$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 62c | 1,294$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…dd18backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 62c | 413$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 385.77$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 361.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.31 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 38c | 359.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked No | 65c | 333.1$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 61c | 302.66$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed No | 64c | 255.46$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 39c | 250$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 57c | 249.32$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 237.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.02 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 43c | 231.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 36c | 170.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 39c | 164.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 36c | 122.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 112.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 39c | 94.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Yes | 38c | 85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 35c | 62.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 66c | 59.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 62c | 53.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…68edbacked No | 64c | 50.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 44.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 32c | 44.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 64c | 39.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 50c | 37.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…5696backed Yes | 36c | 37.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed No | 64c | 30.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed No | 63c | 29.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20a…711fbacked No | 64c | 25.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 66c | 25.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 62c | 19.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.