NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe358dbe6bc5b7bd8a86ab401185b7b6ad2e835aef708b5b07d62bc43dbb65eb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 47c | 118,620$55,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,868.57 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 76,301$40,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,439.27 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 27,198$14,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,410.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 1c | 15,384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 1c | 9,615$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 7,456$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.92 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 6,153$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 3,582$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 2,386$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 53c | 1,011$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.94 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 53c | 991$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.23 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 840.93$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.32 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 46c | 820$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 629$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 217.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 55c | 120.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…45f0backed Under | 30c | 100.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Over | 11c | 95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 54c | 74.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Over | 68c | 73.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 54c | 68.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 54c | 48.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 53c | 48.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 54c | 46.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Over | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b50…5c6abacked Over | 70c | 40.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 49c | 30.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 54c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Over | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.