NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6163a799037eeabe1219f225f0b40574c102d3baf33b3cbd6b7e3d53e20ad1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 31,017$15,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,205.79 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.81 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 3,730$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,533$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 2,909$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.63 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…c6bebacked Under | 51c | 2,504$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Over | 49c | 2,000$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.38 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 1,820$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.95 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 52c | 1,746$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.83 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.3 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 1,534$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.45 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,499$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 1,159$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Under | 52c | 1,050$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.98 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 49c | 902$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 49c | 769.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.9 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 646.43$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…b03ebacked Under | 49c | 544$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 509.11$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.02 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Over | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 48c | 414.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 391.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.05 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 52c | 384.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 62c | 381$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Under | 51c | 270.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 206$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…0b12backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 80c | 185$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 10c | 180$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 47c | 179.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…7e4bbacked Under | 29c | 173.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 146.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…9277backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 65c | 110.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 97.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Under | 76c | 97.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…9b1bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 53c | 77.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 53.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 22c | 53.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Over | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 53c | 47.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…7834backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 48c | 30.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…1ab7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.