NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9539be798fb59574e2287f9cdda3265b6ba887bd218c7ce62bb57e71df4b542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 2,338$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 2,250$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.62 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 47c | 1,880$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.6 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Over | 47c | 1,467$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.93 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.89 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 51c | 529.41$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.41 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 49c | 522.16$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.16 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Under | 53c | 422.04$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 49c | 408.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 407.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 53c | 274.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 137.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 131.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 121.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 54c | 99.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 62.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 62.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Over | 47c | 57.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 50.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 50c | 47.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Over | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 28c | 41.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 35.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 52c | 34.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…5848backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 48c | 27.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 54c | 23.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Over | 46c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…068ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.