NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aca73c7c8e698c879bd875065a28f9261888b851d107a3f50bdaff3c83945bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 47c | 35,012$16,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,455.61 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed 76ers | 53c | 26,909$14,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,676.16 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 53c | 15,707$8,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 48c | 3,947$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed 76ers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 48c | 2,210$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.71 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked 76ers | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Raptors | 47c | 1,654$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.44 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 46c | 1,592$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed 76ers | 52c | 1,583$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.79 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 48c | 1,472$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.56 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers | 53c | 1,442$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.78 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.51 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Raptors | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.8 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Raptors | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 47c | 995.87$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.06 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed 76ers | 51c | 940.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.09 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Raptors | 47c | 680.06$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.83 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…b894backed Raptors | 48c | 576.71$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 49c | 564.36$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.45 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Raptors | 47c | 520$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.89 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 76ers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked 76ers | 53c | 441.51$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.51 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed 76ers | 53c | 413$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed 76ers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c7…81eabacked Raptors | 48c | 354.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Raptors | 48c | 350.08$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 76ers | 53c | 348.67$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Raptors | 48c | 339.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Raptors | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed 76ers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed 76ers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers | 52c | 173.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Raptors | 48c | 126.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed 76ers | 52c | 123.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Raptors | 48c | 116.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Raptors | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…66e2backed Raptors | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Raptors | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked 76ers | 53c | 79.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked 76ers | 53c | 74.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed 76ers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Raptors | 43c | 69.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Raptors | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Raptors | 45c | 66.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Raptors | 40c | 65.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Raptors | 47c | 60.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…9b80backed Raptors | 48c | 60.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.7wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Raptors | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6738…921dbacked 76ers | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Raptors | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked 76ers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7778…d6fdbacked Raptors | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Raptors | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed 76ers | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed 76ers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked 76ers | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Raptors | 47c | 37.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Raptors | 48c | 33.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed 76ers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ba…03efbacked Raptors | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…7f18backed 76ers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb771…e3fbbacked 76ers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 48c | 27.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…3babbacked Raptors | 48c | 27.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Raptors | 50c | 23.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Raptors | 48c | 23.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…8dbbbacked 76ers | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…5b50backed 76ers | 54c | 22.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Raptors | 48c | 21.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Raptors | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Raptors | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.