Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Olga Danilovic vs McCartney Kessler
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5343d296296187b52d47d75bdefee7e7462db38f970f900789755799ad08977
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Danilovicof Danilovic, Kessler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Kessler | 32c | 8,295$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.28 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kessler | 51c | 7,924$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.48 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Danilovic | 35c | 6,943$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Danilovic | 38c | 3,292$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Kessler | 65c | 3,059$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Danilovic | 30c | 2,780$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.03 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Danilovic | 62c | 2,162$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.36 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Danilovic | 41c | 1,874$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.98 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Danilovic | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kessler | 59c | 1,531$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.71 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Danilovic | 47c | 1,138$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.89 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Danilovic | 27c | 966.66$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.37 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Danilovic | 30c | 945.25$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.34 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Danilovic | 44c | 915.35$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.68 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kessler | 59c | 827.97$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.14 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Danilovic | 34c | 756.68$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.68 | 996 | 39.9%397 W · 599 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Danilovic | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kessler | 70c | 646.9$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.48 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50de…fff1backed Kessler | 71c | 562.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Kessler | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 315 | 55.6%175 W · 140 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Danilovic | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Danilovic | 30c | 467.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.23 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Danilovic | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Danilovic | 37c | 409.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.47 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kessler | 50c | 351.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Kessler | 52c | 347.05$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kessler | 70c | 314.25$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.63 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Kessler | 72c | 312$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kessler | 62c | 303.78$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Danilovic | 11c | 295.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.26 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Kessler | 75c | 266.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb134…b496backed Danilovic | 69c | 248.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Kessler | 64c | 236.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Kessler | 64c | 233.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Kessler | 61c | 230.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734a…e083backed Danilovic | 34c | 215.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…1102backed Danilovic | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…58dabacked Danilovic | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…4a3cbacked Kessler | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kessler | 57c | 177.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Kessler | 10c | 159.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Kessler | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Kessler | 68c | 151.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…3863backed Kessler | 34c | 150.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Kessler | 70c | 149.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kessler | 59c | 147.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Danilovic | 74c | 145.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Kessler | 69c | 145.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Kessler | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Kessler | 73c | 132.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Danilovic | 42c | 132.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…a7eebacked Kessler | 73c | 118.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Danilovic | 32c | 116.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Kessler | 69c | 111$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Kessler | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…c526backed Kessler | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Danilovic | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Danilovic | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Danilovic | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…ee68backed Kessler | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…0f4cbacked Kessler | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…d09cbacked Kessler | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…cb99backed Danilovic | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Kessler | 63c | 99.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Danilovic | 27c | 95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Danilovic | 31c | 93.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Danilovic | 57c | 83.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed Kessler | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…48debacked Danilovic | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Kessler | 72c | 69.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Danilovic | 28c | 66.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9eb…8097backed Danilovic | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Kessler | 63c | 63.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Kessler | 31c | 62.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…3ae6backed Danilovic | 32c | 62.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Danilovic | 29c | 60.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kessler | 67c | 56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kessler | 70c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Kessler | 29c | 52.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Danilovic | 40c | 50.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Kessler | 47c | 49.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Kessler | 63c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Danilovic | 45c | 46.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Danilovic | 33c | 45.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…c9c4backed Danilovic | 34c | 44.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Danilovic | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Kessler | 50c | 37.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Danilovic | 67c | 36.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Danilovic | 65c | 32.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kessler | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Kessler | 74c | 29.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked Kessler | 65c | 27.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…81c3backed Kessler | 73c | 27.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2211…3de6backed Kessler | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Danilovic | 45c | 25.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Danilovic | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Kessler | 73c | 20.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Kessler | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed Danilovic | 54c | 19.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…5f7cbacked Kessler | 72c | 17.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hobart International: Olga Danilovic vs McCartney Kesslerthis page
- Danilovic vs. Kessler: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Kessler (-1.5) vs Danilovic (+1.5)Danilovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.