Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7347382f4f719129f01722246a8e22f2da833fa0252c4f453f6a8d8555090f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 9,482$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.65 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 3c | 3,095$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 2c | 2,119$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 1,586$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…5cbebacked Yes | 2c | 1,490$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes | 3c | 838$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…c444backed Yes | 3c | 668.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 7c | 592.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…e0d3backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 18c | 510.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 19c | 505.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 19c | 496.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 18c | 454.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…896dbacked Yes | 19c | 435.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 5c | 347.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Yes | 19c | 340.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 6c | 181.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed Yes | 10c | 144.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…15eabacked Yes | 16c | 116.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +217%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…d632backed Yes | 19c | 57.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.