TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Siena Saints

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sacred Heart Pioneersof Sacred Heart Pioneers, Siena Saints
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,867 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers66c1,440$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.295,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Siena Saints38c935.57$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.421,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Siena Saints49c541$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.242,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers31c477.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.311,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Siena Saints52c451.42$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.73,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Siena Saints16c434.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.557335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Siena Saints53c263.29$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Sacred Heart Pioneers50c243$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.59235.9%33 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Siena Saints52c192.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.912733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Siena Saints32c177$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.181,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers54c172.2$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.084,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Siena Saints62c152.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.222,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Sacred Heart Pioneers46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers73c143.79$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.979849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sacred Heart Pioneers21c126$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.545,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Siena Saints48c117.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.991,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Siena Saints80c116$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.811346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sacred Heart Pioneers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sacred Heart Pioneers50c99.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.391,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Siena Saints14c96.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.996931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers20c90.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.51,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers21c62.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6620026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Siena Saints74c57.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.053,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Siena Saints58c55.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9648051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Sacred Heart Pioneers37c52.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Siena Saints20c51.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0718241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Siena Saints79c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.57656.6%43 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Sacred Heart Pioneers68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1634649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Siena Saints79c46.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.364,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Siena Saints29c44.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.182,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Siena Saints31c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5845953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Siena Saints53c28.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.174,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…c75cbacked Siena Saints79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Siena Saints64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Siena Saints53c20.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6653635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Siena Saints72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Siena Saints79c17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.432,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…aeb0backed Siena Saints68c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.883948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints77c13.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.