La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37933b48bf5de497a84220258680515a44b72ca88fe04dc8d1fabd596d939961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes | 50c | 688.29$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 602.08$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 480.58$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.76 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 39c | 257.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 53c | 189.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 175.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2f18backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 110.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 22c | 94.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 27c | 92.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Yes | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 49c | 89.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 82.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 35c | 57.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 54c | 42.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…1147backed No | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 29.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Yes | 46c | 25.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will FC Andorra vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.