Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon Ducks vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4feb80008ee9efcee0033011acd42c1fbe9ab95613eb192a6d34c2bd91d36a45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nebraska Cornhuskersof Oregon Ducks, Nebraska Cornhuskers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Oregon Ducks | 17c | 5,025$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.17 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Oregon Ducks | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oregon Ducks | 16c | 1,915$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Oregon Ducks | 22c | 1,500$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.53 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 79c | 1,260$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.7 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Oregon Ducks | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Oregon Ducks | 14c | 749.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Oregon Ducks | 14c | 721.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…1baebacked Oregon Ducks | 17c | 596.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Oregon Ducks | 9c | 555.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…3564backed Oregon Ducks | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Oregon Ducks | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Oregon Ducks | 13c | 293.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Oregon Ducks | 14c | 221$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…55b7backed Oregon Ducks | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Oregon Ducks | 16c | 146$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Oregon Ducks | 16c | 138.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oregon Ducks | 13c | 137.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Oregon Ducks | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Oregon Ducks | 14c | 124.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Oregon Ducks | 14c | 117.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Oregon Ducks | 16c | 117$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Oregon Ducks | 15c | 71.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88c…8465backed Oregon Ducks | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.