NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1124de88aa08e2e1c30e5761344335796392b9c60cd8f5490ed7ce58c90536ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Bruins, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,193,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,213,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,193,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 932 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Red Wings | 64c | 451,710$291,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,457.85 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Bruins | 36c | 225,721$81,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,224.63 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Bruins | 38c | 206,620$79,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,428.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Wings | 64c | 100,000$64,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,999.99 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Red Wings | 63c | 70,000$43,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,200 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Red Wings | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bruins | 36c | 48,685$17,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,526.62 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Bruins | 35c | 46,150$16,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,152.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bruins | 35c | 39,500$13,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,825 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Bruins | 36c | 25,690$9,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,248.53 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bruins | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Bruins | 11c | 24,418$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.48 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 36c | 23,144$8,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,341.75 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 61c | 15,824$9,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250.48 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Red Wings | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruins | 35c | 14,785$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,174.82 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bruins | 36c | 11,259$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.25 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Wings | 63c | 11,096$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.44 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bruins | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.96 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bruins | 37c | 9,979$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.28 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Bruins | 8c | 9,196$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.11 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Red Wings | 63c | 9,155$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.48 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Bruins | 33c | 9,081$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Red Wings | 65c | 7,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Red Wings | 63c | 6,950$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.5 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Red Wings | 63c | 6,190$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.3 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 61c | 5,839$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.64 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Red Wings | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Red Wings | 60c | 4,949$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.59 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Bruins | 36c | 4,726$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.34 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Red Wings | 63c | 4,500$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Red Wings | 62c | 4,244$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.68 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Red Wings | 64c | 4,230$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Bruins | 38c | 4,200$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bruins | 2c | 4,036$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Bruins | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Red Wings | 63c | 3,905$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.76 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bruins | 36c | 3,654$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.58 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bruins | 36c | 3,494$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.39 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Wings | 63c | 3,101$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.37 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 63c | 3,100$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.97 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed Red Wings | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 64c | 2,842$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.07 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bruins | 36c | 2,583$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.05 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…18febacked Bruins | 38c | 2,503$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bruins | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade4…46b5backed Red Wings | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bruins | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bruins | 36c | 2,495$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.71 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Red Wings | 64c | 2,400$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.6 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 62c | 2,281$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.89 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bruins | 35c | 2,109$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.12 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Bruins | 5c | 2,078$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Red Wings | 60c | 2,070$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.45 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Red Wings | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…a7cfbacked Bruins | 6c | 1,865$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Red Wings | 63c | 1,738$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.87 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Bruins | 38c | 1,722$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.21 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bruins | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bruins | 36c | 1,571$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.15 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…bc02backed Red Wings | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…71bebacked Bruins | 37c | 1,536$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 59c | 1,504$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.74 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.04 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Red Wings | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Red Wings | 63c | 1,500$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.27 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings | 62c | 1,460$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Red Wings | 63c | 1,445$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.73 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bruins | 38c | 1,318$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Bruins | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…77bbbacked Bruins | 38c | 1,310$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…bc50backed Bruins | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803d…368bbacked Bruins | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Red Wings | 63c | 1,280$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.6 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Bruins | 37c | 1,257$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.09 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bruins | 25c | 1,255$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.68 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Bruins | 36c | 1,110$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…ad40backed Bruins | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Red Wings | 63c | 1,077$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.08 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bruins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Bruins | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bruins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Red Wings | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Bruins | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Red Wings | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Red Wings | 63c | 995$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Red Wings | 64c | 915$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…569bbacked Bruins | 5c | 799.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Wings | 63c | 786.98$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Red Wings | 74c | 784.16$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 63c | 778$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.45 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Bruins | 12c | 765.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bruins | 38c | 712$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.56 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0898…3c6dbacked Red Wings | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cd…2c61backed Red Wings | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe407…171dbacked Bruins | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…138cbacked Bruins | 10c | 698.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…d5a6backed Bruins | 37c | 686.78$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…5a55backed Bruins | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Bruins vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.