TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over55c100,000$54,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,499.991,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under37c41,800$15,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,4071346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over63c40,250$25,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,90018262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c30,377$13,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,875.332,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under47c29,810$13,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,883.1588151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c16,472$7,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,511.672,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75022550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under46c11,000$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,02013049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over53c10,634$5,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,99821850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over53c6,217$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,921.8993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Over53c6,139$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.3257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under47c6,104$2,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,868.9938844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under45c4,552$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.4751452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under46c4,255$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.328652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under47c3,332$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.1222546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c2,307$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.911,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Over66c1,750$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59528353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under46c1,486$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.511849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c1,431$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.111,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over55c1,000$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4551,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under46c610.79$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9372847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27611254.5%61 W · 51 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23030349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under45c444$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.849546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under45c425.06$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9687447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under46c359.12$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.571,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14176450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under44c249.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Under45c249.89$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4516246.9%76 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Over54c240.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7415347.7%73 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9436652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7052…74aebacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+76.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x490e…6ea7backed Under47c186.18$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c0…e3d9backed Over54c183.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.342846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.237649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759758.8%57 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.428549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over55c135.41$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4121454.2%116 W · 98 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…ef6abacked Over72c110.57$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under45c103$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.351,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over56c101.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.062,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4759950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4445756.2%257 W · 200 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4634653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under47c81.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9147944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Under48c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.486546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Over55c70.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5118159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over55c68.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0349053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f79…c16cbacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.569357%53 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4648149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under46c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4658346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4647249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.541847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1210262.7%64 W · 38 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa1bd…4f40backed Over55c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9716552.7%87 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Under48c42.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.434173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71ca…6ed5backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under46c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3229550.2%148 W · 147 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.419347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Over55c36.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3312650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f3…af0bbacked Over54c36.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.871353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6429147.4%138 W · 153 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6421648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6417552%91 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.649853.1%52 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6441851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6460549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6417249.4%85 W · 87 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Under45c33.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.996949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2f…f35fbacked Over56c27.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3659…1c2dbacked Over55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.152864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.526448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.526348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.527148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe3…5470backed Over56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e27…5cebbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f2…1415backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.