Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd04592df0e40ae39dfcb6916965cc8fa612896788ca1feb8f08514e0164985cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 31c | 10,592$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.76 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 36c | 6,330$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 65c | 4,500$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 67c | 3,144$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.75 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 1c | 1,772$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 1,622$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.01 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 1,543$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.86 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 17c | 1,241$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.52 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 1,093$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 1,043$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.57 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 66c | 1,024$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.17 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,010$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.18 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 888.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 507.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.37 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 464.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 65c | 431$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…db88backed Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…f47bbacked No | 35c | 349.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 34c | 292.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…3dd8backed Yes | 73c | 275.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 67c | 263.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f93…ff72backed Yes | 66c | 237.11$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 6c | 220.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 13c | 163.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…2dcebacked Yes | 65c | 147.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 69c | 143.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes | 66c | 126.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 36c | 111.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 67c | 102.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 24c | 96.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed No | 30c | 89.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…31eabacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yes | 65c | 72.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 31c | 69.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…7040backed Yes | 67c | 59.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 34c | 56.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Yes | 66c | 45.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…f4e5backed No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…358bbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe771…a76abacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…ec66backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 67c | 26.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 67c | 25.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 74c | 24.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…b224backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 69c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 69c | 17.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 65c | 17.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.