La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4598f3d10298537c36f6843d15b210eceb68dd41f523b5f132a2a9e05d11c0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,049.98 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 4,098$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.5 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 2,970$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.89 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 72c | 1,241$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.01 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 15c | 846.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 13c | 692.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 55c | 671.23$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.18 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 646.64$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.65 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 45c | 362.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.22 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 288.91$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 46c | 196.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 55c | 168$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 47c | 109.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 106.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 59.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…e49cbacked No | 55c | 57.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 48.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 44c | 43.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Yes | 46c | 41.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 80c | 39.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 37.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 56c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 30.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed No | 53c | 22.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 56c | 19.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will UD Almería vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.