South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79a9837cdf1ea4ec297d89e363413d9da65140142deec0a0b3392c2978ca411e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 32c | 26,683$8,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,449 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 29c | 10,206$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.79 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 70c | 4,673$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.48 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 59c | 2,491$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.36 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 26c | 2,405$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.25 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 1,959$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.91 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 29c | 1,500$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 80c | 1,465$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.72 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked No | 30c | 1,332$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 1,284$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.39 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 26c | 991.72$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 846.79$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 24c | 801.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 60c | 596.51$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 74c | 540.19$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 59c | 539.27$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 75c | 332.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 31c | 274.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 258.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 75c | 217.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 39c | 209.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 20c | 180.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 13c | 165.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 25c | 100.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 100.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 18c | 87.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 77.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 26c | 76.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 21c | 64.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 58c | 63.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…469bbacked Yes | 61c | 57.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…e49cbacked Yes | 59c | 55.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…a821backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…77f6backed Yes | 59c | 25.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…410bbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 60c | 22.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…fb51backed Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 78c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…fe20backed Yes | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Club León FC vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.