Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x050d57def96312c0d75ecc435c6808e605af6877de7314e167a1f20aa5a83cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,006 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 4,513$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.01 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 3,446$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.29 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,646$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.9 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 1,259$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…b9c7backed Yes | 15c | 664.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 16c | 527.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 15c | 420$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 16c | 413.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Yes | 14c | 356.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked Yes | 14c | 349.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…3302backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 16c | 290.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 14c | 269.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked Yes | 15c | 257$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…ffb0backed Yes | 16c | 226$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 16c | 222.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 14c | 215.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 13c | 206.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 14c | 162$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 94.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…673bbacked Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…3418backed Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.