Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb34905b24c4ddc515d2dcb271f710dc48d20dce58bdcfa94de403923b773fa3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,265 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,093$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 73c | 1,091$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 550.4$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.73 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 511.62$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 208.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 26c | 190.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 25c | 157.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 32c | 138$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 9c | 130.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 17c | 116.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Yes | 35c | 101.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 37c | 80.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 15c | 73.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 65.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 64c | 61.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 41c | 58.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…16a1backed Yes | 31c | 48.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…467dbacked Yes | 36c | 35.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 60c | 33.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 58c | 27.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 22.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 67c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 18.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 77c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.