Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30d012734fcf985433ca39a6b762d9f31212eea459fd0914b121223efc5503e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,796 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 13c | 39,270$5,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,195.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 24c | 2,636$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 2,116$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.13 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,749$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.07 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes | 25c | 1,474$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,362$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.1 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 12c | 1,243$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 75c | 1,166$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,077$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.35 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 76c | 796$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.04 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 7c | 642$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 362.85$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 230.58$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 76c | 224.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…882dbacked No | 75c | 162.86$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 28c | 146.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 118.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 113.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 76c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 27c | 67.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 76c | 66.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 65.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 27c | 53.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 46.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked No | 75c | 41.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…027ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 74c | 18.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Göztepe SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.