Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Göztepe SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77508f6b365cc3e35440f1d87d43588e1d0bfeaa6b81c428c8eb9c86dd34db52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,394 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,304$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.11 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 2,078$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,456$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.23 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,029$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.85 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 70c | 1,017$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.9 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 1,004$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 6c | 1,003$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 951.79$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.21 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 661.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.9 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 18c | 599.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 78c | 583.17$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed No | 18c | 578.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 79c | 568.87$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 18c | 500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 5c | 426.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…041fbacked Yes | 30c | 407.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed No | 20c | 315$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 271.69$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.78 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 14c | 218.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 31c | 195$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 31c | 172$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 144$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb1…da32backed No | 70c | 139.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…3448backed No | 70c | 138.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 134.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…c68bbacked No | 70c | 129.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 45c | 106.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 90.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 21c | 84.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 32c | 77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 32c | 74.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 31c | 63.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 63.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 60.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 38c | 59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 64c | 51.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 79c | 43.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 38.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 69c | 33.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed No | 73c | 20.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Göztepe SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.