La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7589e557748ddab47d80fb9b76cdb3ed47ffe5264e71fb4a19a3983b8db500a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,904 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 19c | 4,552$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.3 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 2,687$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 1,514$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.52 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 18c | 1,345$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.1 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 18c | 1,250$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 36c | 1,106$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 828.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 28c | 324.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 35c | 251.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 7c | 199.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 6c | 174.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 18c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 30c | 66.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 66c | 54.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6565backed Under | 28c | 37.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…df2fbacked Under | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.