Other European Leagues · resolved market
Göztepe SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a7aaa2dc9725418b151ca685a2a75b5b037503474686df6ed6114eb321cd3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,575 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 2,117$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,058$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.11 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 53c | 1,900$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.89 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed Under | 15c | 1,400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed Under | 15c | 1,400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Under | 58c | 1,206$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.51 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 80c | 1,126$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Under | 65c | 811.17$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 38c | 657.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.96 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Over | 64c | 627.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 16c | 470$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 16c | 469.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 408.02$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.33 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed Under | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Over | 42c | 257$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 32c | 128.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 63c | 84.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 65c | 58.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 21c | 48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 23c | 47.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Under | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 53c | 29.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 65c | 26.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Göztepe SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Göztepe SK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Göztepe SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Göztepe SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Göztepe SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.