TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,734 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No42c6,581$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.2637641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes57c5,178$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.542,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes77c3,795$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.833060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Yes56c3,552$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No15c2,269$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.227,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No22c1,628$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.1883440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes57c1,169$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.744344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No9c975.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.12,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No11c925.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.142,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes58c648.63$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.182,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes59c630.45$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.431,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No14c528.12$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4394043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd829…95f9backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes58c478$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5143546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes74c477.85$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.785,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed No44c457.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes58c405.49$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.171,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes57c390$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.724030.4%73 W · 167 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No40c385.46$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.711,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes58c365$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.21,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1426549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No45c288.89$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13013357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c278.85$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.52,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes56c268$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.815846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No26c255.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6622333.2%74 W · 149 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes60c255.88$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.591369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c232$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0829742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.292850%14 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c174.72$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1785250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes55c170.9$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3428349.1%139 W · 144 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes57c170$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.11844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No45c168.53$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.847160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No44c163.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8313842.8%59 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No38c157.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.581,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf994…8f7ebacked No42c156$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…d026backed No42c156$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes65c154.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.34977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6313252.3%69 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe388…9da3backed Yes56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe2…e1eebacked Yes55c132.73$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Yes53c124.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No44c121.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2543721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x05cb…3d49backed No42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed No25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No43c119.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9940850.7%207 W · 201 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7ca…5cd1backed Yes59c106.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5511351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4467050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes64c86.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5467348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c85.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.377350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef5…0366backed No40c82.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.081030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes74c73.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9598653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…8150backed Yes59c72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Yes57c68.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes59c62.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7151356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55865.5%38 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed No20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122010%2 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.951,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes57c54.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6311755.6%65 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5711256.3%63 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf304…f665backed Yes58c53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes59c50.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.511163.1%70 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12536%9 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe23c…7f85backed Yes59c47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes65c45.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8589258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f71…65a3backed Yes58c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x560e…9607backed Yes59c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes56c41.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.073450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cd…1f94backed Yes59c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.410846.3%50 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e77…198dbacked Yes59c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd1…0fe7backed Yes55c36.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.28643%37 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.216346.6%76 W · 87 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf170…9da7backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8c…f82dbacked Yes59c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes61c32.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8711636.2%42 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed No46c32.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes77c32.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.372437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c31.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0ec…f7dabacked Yes58c31.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes60c30.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.147054.3%38 W · 32 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa556…e483backed Yes55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c4…0a2dbacked Yes57c29.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c366backed Yes58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed No44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa859…5a4fbacked Yes57c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+73.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes63c19.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0486960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.