Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3662a1e4e9a072381dc384c48575b7e79f641a463bb31da0a86dfdee7a588c90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,741 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 50c | 1,237$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 54c | 1,200$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…3f04backed Under | 73c | 951.58$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 559.12$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.49 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over | 66c | 229$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 199.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 185.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 32c | 139.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 17c | 110.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 70c | 86.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 58c | 84.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 79.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 74.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 64c | 73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 78c | 64.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 52c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 20c | 50.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 50c | 48.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9624…0b05backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…800bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 60c | 34.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.