Fifa International · resolved market
Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02ece8db4485bc8ffba6b4dd4dd044134fa0e122ca70f16db13acbd92ac36d23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 3,462$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 46c | 1,592$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,220$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 50c | 885.4$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 38c | 716.8$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.42 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 634.92$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 50c | 583.94$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 61c | 408$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 36c | 267.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 64c | 256.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 65c | 199.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed Over | 64c | 195.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 64c | 183.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 154$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 36c | 139.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 51c | 139.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed Over | 64c | 120.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 58c | 115.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…23cfbacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 51c | 97.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…7a37backed Over | 44c | 76.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 64c | 76.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Over | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 55.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 44c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 41.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…eb83backed Over | 42c | 31.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +79%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…e7afbacked Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 29.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 58c | 19.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 1.5this page
- Liberia vs. Libya: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liberia (-1.5)Libya won
- Spread: Liberia (-2.5)Libya won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.