Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Liberia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72318e8e65941ac5e4440b5abcfcb22d9e9ce2afb07c7b958ed7d610f188c9fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libyaof Liberia, Libya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa80…4393backed Liberia | 7c | 752$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae38…90c7backed Liberia | 8c | 548$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…5829backed Liberia | 8c | 525.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…2475backed Liberia | 8c | 510$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…c3c0backed Liberia | 7c | 486$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…db7dbacked Liberia | 8c | 470$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f9…ff9bbacked Liberia | 7c | 454$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…1a1cbacked Liberia | 7c | 424$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb33a…3d84backed Liberia | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…44c5backed Liberia | 7c | 380$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…1c04backed Liberia | 8c | 174.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liberia (-1.5)this page
- Liberia vs. Libya: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liberia (-2.5)Libya won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.