Fifa International · resolved market
Liberia vs. Libya: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93097f48ea3574a03130870e2a6f3a01ec6fdd11d16f6c28e8d2a94d4e3421bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 50c | 623.84$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.57 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 399.55$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.91 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 35c | 383.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 65c | 372.14$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 289.2$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.81 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…785ebacked No | 8c | 269.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 54c | 226.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 191.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 164.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 65c | 34.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 26.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed No | 62c | 22.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberia vs. Libya: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liberia (-1.5)Libya won
- Spread: Liberia (-2.5)Libya won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.