Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6637a8f782c16f104390a646e23ed4041045be80bfda5c0ade059f69d7f73832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,528 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 1,894$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.08 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 28c | 1,249$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.85 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 28c | 677.76$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 522$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 50c | 462.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 49c | 102.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 21c | 76.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 39c | 59.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Under | 59c | 48.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 28c | 45.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 60c | 17.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +83%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Under | 63c | 17.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.