Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbdcea7affa5360b39309fdcb9fa9193dc37695e6641782e95b6de8ade4c9297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 57c | 8,841$5,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.56 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 6,550$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.56 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 1,752$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.48 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 24c | 1,022$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.3 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.35per pick | 8cpaid | +320.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 950$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 69c | 741.63$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 34c | 652.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.51 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 69c | 592.67$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 62c | 317.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 44c | 303$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 59c | 255.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 44c | 227.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 60c | 211.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 173.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 146.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 140.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 38c | 82.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 68c | 74.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 73.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 55c | 73.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 55c | 67.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 31c | 65.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Over | 55c | 60.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 34c | 57.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Under | 42c | 56.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 55c | 44.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…2f14backed Over | 68c | 41.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…2084backed Over | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Under | 41c | 36.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585a…26ecbacked Over | 68c | 36.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over | 66c | 29.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 69c | 29.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under | 43c | 29.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 57c | 23.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 23.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 57c | 18.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Over | 56c | 18.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 17.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…f5a3backed Under | 71c | 14.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.