Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae7b2abc2d78e8cbb372cc920c084a3cab3b5b63a03603fc77b720a17fb90c9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 4,355$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.48 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 63c | 4,033$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.11 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 70c | 1,247$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.17 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 33c | 650.64$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.55 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 67c | 399.88$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 12c | 213.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 73c | 183.66$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Over | 41c | 150.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 25c | 145.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 105.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…2398backed Over | 33c | 87.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 36c | 76.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked Over | 33c | 70.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 61c | 60.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 33c | 41.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Over | 33c | 41.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 33c | 41.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Over | 33c | 41.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 40c | 40.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Over | 32c | 38.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 33c | 34.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 69c | 28.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 60c | 24.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.