Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd656888872796fa36f95918b3257189b579e5beb5b47ed88b59024c03978ba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 908.3$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.66 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 697.24$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.14 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 389.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 268.18$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 184.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 2,361 | 46.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 45c | 114.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 99.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 945 | 43.1%407 W · 538 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…b804backed Over | 13c | 97.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 96.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 91.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 1,111 | 47.9%532 W · 579 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 85.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 456 | 21.5%98 W · 358 L | -52.2wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 55c | 75.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 58c | 67.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 66.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 49c | 64.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 61.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 995 | 52.6%523 W · 472 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 50c | 58.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 56c | 56.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 55c | 55.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 49.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,588 | 52.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 260 | 60%156 W · 104 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 35.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 56c | 31.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 56c | 30.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 27.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Under | 47c | 24.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Over | 66c | 18.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5)Kayserispor won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.