Fifa International · resolved market
Hungary vs. Greece: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5122107fc457293529d26ca52375ae33d6efdfadae57b1276c1a2550425c41e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 73c | 9,416$6,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,903.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 8,819$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 3,651$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.6 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 43c | 3,470$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 2,849$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.66 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 2,259$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.75 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 73c | 2,175$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.88 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 67c | 1,485$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.25 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 31c | 1,388$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.17 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 66c | 717.32$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.77 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 709.95$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.47 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 27c | 480$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 38c | 375.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed Over | 21c | 331.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 28c | 266.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.79 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 250.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 240.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 73c | 235.71$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 70c | 214.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 41c | 213.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 28c | 200.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 42c | 191.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12b…a340backed Over | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 61c | 181.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 177.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 52c | 169.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 44c | 167.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 164.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 60c | 161$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 57c | 158.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 28c | 142$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 72c | 128.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 52c | 127.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 38c | 121.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 27c | 114.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 29c | 105.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…0409backed Under | 31c | 64.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 55.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 53.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Over | 38c | 51.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Under | 28c | 40.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 73c | 39.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 60c | 32.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed Over | 51c | 30.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…e7afbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Under | 45c | 28.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 73c | 20.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 72c | 20.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…9592backed Under | 60c | 19.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa561…cf19backed Over | 73c | 19.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 71c | 16.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hungary vs. Greece: O/U 1.5this page
- Hungary vs. Greece: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hungary vs. Greece: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Greece: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Greece: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Greece (-2.5)Hungary won
- Spread: Hungary (-1.5)Greece won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.