Fifa International · resolved market
Hungary vs. Greece: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81d7ffb7350aa556465379572d3db8819d082331b71802d1120eda0d70fb94f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 4,488$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 28c | 3,266$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 2,368$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.72 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 47c | 860.49$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 18c | 778.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 73c | 749.31$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.89 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 645.41$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.26 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 23c | 620.08$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 47c | 528.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 79c | 439.01$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 47c | 425.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 322.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 286.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 209.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 187.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 39c | 127.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 125.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 46c | 107.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 12c | 99.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 47c | 93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 54c | 90.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 71c | 72.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 41c | 71.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 71c | 71.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 57c | 62.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 61.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 56c | 57.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 33c | 55.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 51.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 56c | 50.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 55c | 49.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…8a0cbacked Under | 54c | 42.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 46c | 41.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…74b3backed Over | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 34.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 55c | 32.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…301bbacked Over | 47c | 25.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 46c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…b19fbacked Under | 54c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 76c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hungary vs. Greece: O/U 2.5this page
- Hungary vs. Greece: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hungary vs. Greece: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Greece: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Greece: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Greece (-2.5)Hungary won
- Spread: Hungary (-1.5)Greece won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.