Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f8498f0a22ba721f3878c67ff8015403dfd5e6f458acb2c80e55e9dd1bbe557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 871.89$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 52c | 382.55$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9579…44d4backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 349.92$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 57c | 237.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 218.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 197.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 194.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 44c | 188.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 187.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 48c | 163.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 128.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 46c | 110.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 47c | 45.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 46c | 43.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 37c | 41.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 55c | 41.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 29.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 41c | 29.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 42c | 28.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Stoke City FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-2.5)Stoke City FC won
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)Stoke City FC won
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.