Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f2df83f8da6ad036ef6c2aaa56cd6ff9ef88b43cf3c7c982b1a964c910e5c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stoke City FCof Stoke City FC, Sheffield Wednesday FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 1,225$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.11 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Stoke City FC | 42c | 1,203$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.83 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 498.08$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Stoke City FC | 42c | 324.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Stoke City FC | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 169.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 53c | 115.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 53c | 108.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 53c | 108.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 55c | 103$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Stoke City FC | 42c | 93.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 51c | 91.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 52c | 82.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stoke City FC | 42c | 69.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Stoke City FC | 41c | 59.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 51c | 56.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 55c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Stoke City FC | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 56c | 40.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…6c32backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 58c | 38.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Stoke City FC | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 24.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 58c | 24.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 58c | 24.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 58c | 23.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Stoke City FC | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 62c | 18.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stoke City FC | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Stoke City FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-2.5)Stoke City FC won
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.