Other European Leagues · resolved market
Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf6c676d69d4ccdaa5e2b1d9721c7595e89a51c145f1db65c3780b240c861093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,488 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 22c | 1,250$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.69 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 937.59$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 719.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 25c | 369.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 24c | 271.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Under | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 25c | 249.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 24c | 131.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 124.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Over | 26c | 81.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 24c | 43.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 73c | 32.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…0f2dbacked Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Konyaspor won
- Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.