TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No53c27,780$14,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,029.3331643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes44c26,149$11,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,522.154551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Yes53c15,328$8,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,119.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6507572%54 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No52c4,936$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.441,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No51c3,987$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No52c3,738$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.58944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Yes51c2,961$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No47c2,243$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.026363.5%40 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No39c2,057$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.3349449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c1,940$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.552,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c1,913$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.235,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffad…87fdbacked Yes49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78013821%29 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes39c1,377$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.3863644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c986.5$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.068,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No65c847.49$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5833251.8%172 W · 160 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes50c845$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.4323435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No43c733.96$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.429727.8%27 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes49c714.29$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes47c652.99$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1781651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No49c608.99$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.646944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No48c569.6$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7226659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Yes49c483.67$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed No68c464.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.55366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162070%14 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed No49c364.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.993060%18 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No55c213.05$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3812045.8%55 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…da5abacked Yes74c208.11$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf928…bc6bbacked No55c199$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ea…de0abacked Yes45c198$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3efa…a3ffbacked Yes45c197$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1694…e465backed No56c196$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ea…1460backed No55c191$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e67…990abacked Yes45c190$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No28c190$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.310442.3%44 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ec6…9354backed No55c189$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a85…7428backed No53c189$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcb…3aa6backed Yes45c188$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…c757backed Yes47c188$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc2…1e2dbacked Yes45c188$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…6c8dbacked No55c187$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7a…b51dbacked Yes47c187$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0027…29f9backed No55c187$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd5…70e6backed Yes45c187$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a5…d685backed No53c186$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1c…30d6backed Yes45c186$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd48…cf75backed No55c186$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea2…0be3backed Yes45c185$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cef…b710backed No55c184$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c183.84$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.831,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes40c170.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.962733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No48c158.89$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8811549.6%57 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No61c149.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2432936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes49c120.72$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2544…6221backed Yes41c120.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked No51c113$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.374141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes46c106.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.845653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No40c105.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.611738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Yes45c101.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8310…d990backed Yes18c98.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2919239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Yes49c83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Yes46c80.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.171250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f9e…6d32backed No52c79.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20b…6b8dbacked Yes46c69.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes73c68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6418742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed No48c62.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6d…a980backed No49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed No49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222060%12 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Yes22c58.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No51c53.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.49361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86d4…b908backed No33c51.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd52…bbccbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345034%17 W · 33 L-9.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x41f1…7212backed No32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes49c49.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.714450%22 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No75c49.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.323268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No26c44.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.291643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes33c42.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No48c42.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.967352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb1…fa48backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb379…517bbacked Yes48c41.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed No49c41.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1240242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked No52c40.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.861330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.212562.4%78 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes74c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x67eb…2335backed No58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No52c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.417950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8280…a6d2backed Yes74c27.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.036665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes51c26.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3260%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.14753.2%25 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b23…b672backed Yes46c23.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.